A research filter, not a predictor — not financial advice. Grades rank growth stocks on evidence-based quality signals from end-of-day data; they are not buy/sell calls or price forecasts. Always do your own research.

Redwire Corp RDW

Mixed (early) Space sector · Space infrastructure components and in-space manufacturing.

Redwire Corp (RDW) is an early-stage Space company, graded Mixed (early) on FrontierLab's evidence-based quality rubric (data as of 2026-10-05). Revenue grew 63.1% year-over-year at a 20.1% gross margin. Gross-profits-to-assets is 0.04; Rule of 40 is 12.8. Net share issuance 146.2% YoY (heavy issuance). 3 risk flags are noted below. Analyst mix: 10 buy / 3 hold / 1 sell. Track record: 27% of Early-stage-graded names beat the S&P over 63 sessions (95% CI 15–44%, N=33). Median excess vs the S&P was -14.6%.

These sentences are generated from the day's data by deterministic templates.

Key quality signals

Revenue growth (YoY)	63.1%
Gross margin	20.1%
Gross profits / assets	0.04
Rule of 40	12.8
Net margin	-50.3%
Cash runway (months)	87.8
PEG	—
Price / sales	6.1

Quality checklist

Each line is one quality test behind the grade — ✓ passed · ~ borderline · ✗ failed. Hover a metric in the tables below for what it means.

✓ Revenue growth — 63.1% (pass ≥ 20%)
✓ Capital efficiency
✗ Gross margin — 20.1% (pass ≥ 45% · Space)
✓ Gross-margin trend — 17.6 (pass ≥ 2)
~ Share dilution — 146.2%
✗ Competitive moat — None
~ Market size (TAM) — Mod

Grade history

2026-08-07 — Mixed (early) (from Weak)
2026-06-10 — Weak (first graded)

Every grade change since FrontierLab began tracking this name — the receipts behind the current grade.

How have Early-stage-graded names performed?

The forward returns of all Early-stage-graded names since each grade was recorded — the bucket this name currently sits in, not a forecast of this individual stock.

Window	Forward record vs the S&P	Median
~1 month	45% of Early-stage-graded names beat the S&P over 21 sessions (95% CI 29–62%, N=31).	Median excess vs the S&P was -3.2%.
~3 months	27% of Early-stage-graded names beat the S&P over 63 sessions (95% CI 15–44%, N=33).	Median excess vs the S&P was -14.6%.
~6 months	building — 46 more sessions needed

How have this name's flags scored?

Flag	N	Mean excess vs S&P
Burning cash — operating margin is negative.	36	-6.5%
Thin gross margin — keeps little of each sales dollar (judge it against its industry).	21	-18.4%
Heavy dilution (~146%/yr) — top-decile share issuers have historically underperformed.	sample still too small to report (need ≥ 8)

These per-flag figures are observational — a flag firing is not a randomized assignment, so any edge can reflect what kind of names trip a flag, not the flag itself. Descriptive, not causal.

Scope: these are forward returns vs the S&P among names still covered at each horizon's end, within the curated universe — not a survivorship-clean whole-market backtest. Names later dropped from coverage are counted as attrition (not hidden), and single-session moves beyond ±300% are treated as split/data artifacts and excluded. How this is measured → · Full track record →

How it compares

Revenue growth: higher than most peers across all sectors (N=22)

Coarse same-sector, same-stage context — not a percentile or rank. GP/A is graded on its absolute level, not position.

Fundamentals

Market cap	$2.60B
Stage	Early
Share issuance (YoY)	146.2% · heavy issuance
Moat	None
TAM	MOD
P/E (trailing)	—
EPS (trailing)	$-1.46
Burn multiple	0.2
Gross-margin trend (pts)	17.6
Cash / assets	0.29
Accruals (%)	-9.7%
Net debt / EBITDA	—
Statements as of	Q2 FY2026 · filed 2026-08-06

Momentum context — describes the past, not a signal

52-week range

$4.87$26.64

Low reached Nov 20, 2025 · high reached May 28, 2026 — by daily close.

Price	$10.88 (as of 2026-10-02)
Last session move	—
% off 52-wk high	-59.2%
RSI (14)	48
Relative volume	1.1×

Risk flags

Burning cash — operating margin is negative.Thin gross margin — keeps little of each sales dollar (judge it against its industry).Heavy dilution (~146%/yr) — top-decile share issuers have historically underperformed.

Positive signals

Growth accelerating — revenue growth sped up ~74 points year-on-year; acceleration is an early fundamental tell (annual data, so it's coarse).

Insider activity (90 days)

Cluster buyers	0
Sellers	1

Insider selling is routine diversification, not a bearish signal.

Analyst mix

Strong buy	1
Buy	9
Hold	3
Sell	1
Strong sell	0

Ratings are context, not a price target. "Momentum" = how the mix changed over recent weeks, not a forecast.

From the headlines

Redwire exploring Honda Robotics partnership; stock trading up amid space sector activity.

AI take — daily, AI-generated

AI leans mixed

Redwire has decent growth (63.1%) and a potential Honda partnership catalyst, but low profitability (GP/A 0.04) and modest margins (20.1%) suggest it's still unproven; the stock's recent pop is sector-driven, not fundamentals-driven.

Generated by an AI model from the day's news — an opinion for context only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a price target.

Similar Space names

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.AST SpaceMobile, Inc.Planet Labs PBCIntuitive Machines, Inc.

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Data as of 2026-10-05 08:19 (end-of-day). How grades are computed →