A research filter, not a predictor — not financial advice. Grades rank growth stocks on evidence-based quality signals from end-of-day data; they are not buy/sell calls or price forecasts. Always do your own research.

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. ASTS

Promising (early) Space sector · Building a space-based cell network that connects ordinary phones.

🗓 Reports earnings in 79 days (2026-11-09) — calendar context, not a prediction.

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) is a Space company, graded Promising (early) on FrontierLab's evidence-based quality rubric (data as of 2026-08-21). Revenue grew 2256.9% year-over-year at a -14% gross margin. Gross-profits-to-assets is 0; Rule of 40 is 1737.4. Net share issuance 23.6% YoY (heavy issuance). 4 risk flags are noted below. Analyst mix: 11 buy / 7 hold / 2 sell.

These sentences are generated from the day's data by deterministic templates.

Key quality signals

Revenue growth (YoY)	2256.9%
Gross margin	-14%
Gross profits / assets	0
Rule of 40	1737.4
Net margin	-519.5%
Cash runway (months)	120
PEG	—
Price / sales	229.6

Quality checklist

Each line is one quality test behind the grade — ✓ passed · ~ borderline · ✗ failed. Hover a metric in the tables below for what it means.

~ Revenue growth — 2256.9% (pass ≥ 20%)
✓ Capital efficiency
✗ Gross margin — -14% (pass ≥ 45% · Space)
✓ Gross-margin trend — 442.1 (pass ≥ 2)
✓ Share dilution — 23.6%
~ Competitive moat — Narrow
✓ Market size (TAM) — Large

Grade history

Graded Promising (early) since 2026-06-10 — no grade changes recorded yet.

How have Early-stage-graded names performed?

The forward returns of all Early-stage-graded names since each grade was recorded — the bucket this name currently sits in, not a forecast of this individual stock.

Window	Forward record vs the S&P	Median
~1 month	69% of Early-stage-graded names beat the S&P over 21 sessions (95% CI 51–82%, N=32).	Median excess vs the S&P was +3.9%.
~3 months	building — 13 more sessions needed
~6 months	building — 76 more sessions needed

How have this name's flags scored?

Flag	N	Mean excess vs S&P
Burning cash — operating margin is negative.	35	+7.4%
Thin gross margin — keeps little of each sales dollar (judge it against its industry).	20	+2.1%
Heavy dilution (~24%/yr) — top-decile share issuers have historically underperformed.	sample still too small to report (need ≥ 8)
Hyper-expansion — assets up ~211% in a year; aggressive expanders have historically lagged.	sample still too small to report (need ≥ 8)

These per-flag figures are observational — a flag firing is not a randomized assignment, so any edge can reflect what kind of names trip a flag, not the flag itself. Descriptive, not causal.

Scope: these are forward returns vs the S&P among names still covered at each horizon's end, within the curated universe — not a survivorship-clean whole-market backtest. Names later dropped from coverage are counted as attrition (not hidden), and single-session moves beyond ±300% are treated as split/data artifacts and excluded. How this is measured → · Full track record →

How it compares

Revenue growth: higher than most peers across all sectors (N=21)

Coarse same-sector, same-stage context — not a percentile or rank. GP/A is graded on its absolute level, not position.

Fundamentals

Market cap	$26.47B
Stage	Early
Share issuance (YoY)	23.6% · heavy issuance
Moat	Narrow
TAM	LARGE
P/E (trailing)	—
EPS (trailing)	$-2.16
Burn multiple	1.3
Gross-margin trend (pts)	442.1
Cash / assets	0.39
Accruals (%)	-12.3%
Net debt / EBITDA	—
Statements as of	Q2 FY2026 · filed 2026-08-10

Momentum context — describes the past, not a signal

52-week range

$36.08$133.86

Low reached Sep 9, 2025 · high reached May 28, 2026 — by daily close.

Price	$65.06 (as of 2026-08-20)
Last session move	—
% off 52-wk high	-51.4%
RSI (14)	46
Relative volume	0.7×

Risk flags

Burning cash — operating margin is negative.Thin gross margin — keeps little of each sales dollar (judge it against its industry).Heavy dilution (~24%/yr) — top-decile share issuers have historically underperformed.Hyper-expansion — assets up ~211% in a year; aggressive expanders have historically lagged.

Positive signals

Growth accelerating — revenue growth sped up ~2008 points year-on-year; acceleration is an early fundamental tell (annual data, so it's coarse).

Insider activity (90 days)

Cluster buyers	0
Sellers	2

Insider selling is routine diversification, not a bearish signal.

Analyst mix

Strong buy	2
Buy	9
Hold	7
Sell	2
Strong sell	0

▲ Analyst view improving — net +3 buy ratings, coverage 19→20 analysts over ~4 weeks (per aggregated analyst ratings)

Ratings are context, not a price target. "Momentum" = how the mix changed over recent weeks, not a forecast.

From the headlines

AST SpaceMobile expands production amid broader space sector decline and bullish long-term forecasts.

AI take — daily, AI-generated

AI leans cautious

AST SpaceMobile's 2256% growth is eye-popping but built on near-zero revenue with negative margins and zero profit per share—classic pre-revenue hype that demands extreme caution despite sector tailwinds.

Generated by an AI model from the day's news — an opinion for context only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a price target.

Similar Space names

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.Planet Labs PBCRedwire CorpIntuitive Machines, Inc.

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Data as of 2026-08-21 08:12 (end-of-day). How grades are computed →