Coinbase Global, Inc. COIN
Weak Fintech sector · The largest US crypto exchange — earnings swing hard with crypto cycles.
Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) is an established Fintech company, graded Weak on FrontierLab's evidence-based quality rubric (data as of 2026-08-21). Revenue grew -21% year-over-year at a 79% gross margin. Gross-profits-to-assets is 0.17; Rule of 40 is -21.4. Net share issuance -5.6% YoY (buying back shares). 1 risk flag is noted below. Analyst mix: 31 buy / 10 hold / 3 sell.
These sentences are generated from the day's data by deterministic templates.
Key quality signals
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -21% |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 79% |
| Gross profits / assets | 0.17 |
| Rule of 40 | -21.4 |
| Net margin | -0.4% |
| Cash runway (months) | — |
| PEG | — |
| Price / sales | 8.2 |
Quality checklist
Each line is one quality test behind the grade — ✓ passed · ~ borderline · ✗ failed. Hover a metric in the tables below for what it means.
- ✗ Revenue growth — -21% (pass ≥ 20%)
- ✗ Gross profits / assets — 0.17 (pass ≥ 0.33)
- · Rule of 40 — -21.4 (context — graded for software only)
- ✓ Gross margin — 79% (pass ≥ 45% · Fintech)
- ✓ Cash generation
- ✓ Share dilution — -5.6%
- ~ Competitive moat — Narrow
- ✓ Market size (TAM) — Large
Grade history
Graded Weak since 2026-06-10 — no grade changes recorded yet.
How have Weak-graded names performed?
The forward returns of all Weak-graded names since each grade was recorded — the bucket this name currently sits in, not a forecast of this individual stock.
| Window | Forward record vs the S&P | Median |
|---|---|---|
| ~1 month | 60% of Weak-graded names beat the S&P over 21 sessions (95% CI 39–78%, N=20). | Median excess vs the S&P was +0.6%. |
| ~3 months | building — 13 more sessions needed | |
| ~6 months | building — 76 more sessions needed | |
How have this name's flags scored?
| Flag | N | Mean excess vs S&P |
|---|---|---|
| Burning cash — operating margin is negative. | 35 | +7.4% |
These per-flag figures are observational — a flag firing is not a randomized assignment, so any edge can reflect what kind of names trip a flag, not the flag itself. Descriptive, not causal.
Scope: these are forward returns vs the S&P among names still covered at each horizon's end, within the curated universe — not a survivorship-clean whole-market backtest. Names later dropped from coverage are counted as attrition (not hidden), and single-session moves beyond ±300% are treated as split/data artifacts and excluded. How this is measured → · Full track record →
How it compares
Coarse same-sector, same-stage context — not a percentile or rank. GP/A is graded on its absolute level, not position.
Fundamentals
| Market cap | $45.47B |
|---|---|
| Stage | Established |
| Share issuance (YoY) | -5.6% · buying back shares |
| Moat | Narrow |
| TAM | LARGE |
| P/E (trailing) | — |
| EPS (trailing) | $-3.84 |
| Burn multiple | — |
| Gross-margin trend (pts) | 5.2 |
| Cash / assets | 0.34 |
| Accruals (%) | -14.6% |
| Net debt / EBITDA | — |
| Statements as of | Q2 FY2026 · filed 2026-07-30 |
Momentum context — describes the past, not a signal
Low reached Feb 12, 2026 · high reached Oct 8, 2025 — by daily close.
| Price | $172.35 (as of 2026-08-20) |
|---|---|
| Last session move | — |
| % off 52-wk high | -57.1% |
| RSI (14) | 61 |
| Relative volume | 2× |
Risk flags
Insider activity (90 days)
| Cluster buyers | 0 |
|---|---|
| Sellers | 3 |
Insider selling is routine diversification, not a bearish signal.
Analyst mix
| Strong buy | 11 |
|---|---|
| Buy | 20 |
| Hold | 10 |
| Sell | 1 |
| Strong sell | 2 |
▲ Analyst view improving — net +1 buy rating over ~4 weeks (per aggregated analyst ratings)
Ratings are context, not a price target. "Momentum" = how the mix changed over recent weeks, not a forecast.
From the headlines
Market activity and Bitcoin price movement noted; no company-specific news.
AI take — daily, AI-generated
AI leans cautious
Negative 21% growth and reliance on Bitcoin price action (not company fundamentals) make this a macro bet, not a business bet; 92% bullish sentiment is pure sentiment-driven noise.
Generated by an AI model from the day's news — an opinion for context only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a price target.
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Data as of 2026-08-21 08:12 (end-of-day). How grades are computed →