A research filter, not a predictor — not financial advice. Grades rank growth stocks on evidence-based quality signals from end-of-day data; they are not buy/sell calls or price forecasts. Always do your own research.

AeroVironment, Inc. AVAV

Promising (early) Emerging Frontier sector · AeroVironment — military drones and loitering munitions, a defense-tech leader.

🗓 Reports earnings in 63 days (2026-12-08) — calendar context, not a prediction.

AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) is an early-stage Emerging Frontier company, graded Promising (early) on FrontierLab's evidence-based quality rubric (data as of 2026-10-05). Revenue grew 84.4% year-over-year at a 26.5% gross margin. Gross-profits-to-assets is 0.09; Rule of 40 is 83.8. Net share issuance 6.3% YoY (heavy issuance). 3 risk flags are noted below. Analyst mix: 24 buy / 4 hold / 0 sell. Track record: 27% of Early-stage-graded names beat the S&P over 63 sessions (95% CI 15–44%, N=33). Median excess vs the S&P was -14.6%.

These sentences are generated from the day's data by deterministic templates.

Key quality signals

Revenue growth (YoY)	84.4%
Gross margin	26.5%
Gross profits / assets	0.09
Rule of 40	83.8
Net margin	-0.6%
Cash runway (months)	—
PEG	—
Price / sales	3.6

Quality checklist

Each line is one quality test behind the grade — ✓ passed · ~ borderline · ✗ failed. Hover a metric in the tables below for what it means.

✓ Revenue growth — 84.4% (pass ≥ 20%)
✓ Capital efficiency
~ Gross margin — 26.5% (pass ≥ 45% · Emerging Frontier)
✗ Gross-margin trend — -4.5 (pass ≥ 2)
✓ Share dilution — 6.3%
~ Competitive moat — Narrow
✓ Market size (TAM) — Large

Grade history

2026-07-02 — Promising (early) (from Mixed (early))
2026-06-10 — Mixed (early) (first graded)

Every grade change since FrontierLab began tracking this name — the receipts behind the current grade.

How have Early-stage-graded names performed?

The forward returns of all Early-stage-graded names since each grade was recorded — the bucket this name currently sits in, not a forecast of this individual stock.

Window	Forward record vs the S&P	Median
~1 month	45% of Early-stage-graded names beat the S&P over 21 sessions (95% CI 29–62%, N=31).	Median excess vs the S&P was -3.2%.
~3 months	27% of Early-stage-graded names beat the S&P over 63 sessions (95% CI 15–44%, N=33).	Median excess vs the S&P was -14.6%.
~6 months	building — 46 more sessions needed

How have this name's flags scored?

Flag	N	Mean excess vs S&P
Burning cash — operating margin is negative.	36	-6.5%
Thin gross margin — keeps little of each sales dollar (judge it against its industry).	21	-18.4%
Heavy share dilution (>5%/yr) — your slice shrinks.	sample still too small to report (need ≥ 8)

These per-flag figures are observational — a flag firing is not a randomized assignment, so any edge can reflect what kind of names trip a flag, not the flag itself. Descriptive, not causal.

Scope: these are forward returns vs the S&P among names still covered at each horizon's end, within the curated universe — not a survivorship-clean whole-market backtest. Names later dropped from coverage are counted as attrition (not hidden), and single-session moves beyond ±300% are treated as split/data artifacts and excluded. How this is measured → · Full track record →

How it compares

Revenue growth: higher than most Emerging Frontier peers (N=8)

Gross margin: lower than most Emerging Frontier peers (N=8)

Coarse same-sector, same-stage context — not a percentile or rank. GP/A is graded on its absolute level, not position.

Fundamentals

Market cap	$7.13B
Stage	Early
Share issuance (YoY)	6.3% · heavy issuance
Moat	Narrow
TAM	LARGE
P/E (trailing)	—
EPS (trailing)	$-5.82
Burn multiple	—
Gross-margin trend (pts)	-4.5
Cash / assets	0.1
Accruals (%)	-6.1%
Net debt / EBITDA	—
Statements as of	Q1 FY2027 · filed 2026-09-10

Momentum context — describes the past, not a signal

52-week range

$135.2$417.86

Low reached Jun 25, 2026 · high reached Oct 13, 2025 — by daily close.

Price	$140.82 (as of 2026-10-02)
Last session move	—
% off 52-wk high	-66.3%
RSI (14)	38
Relative volume	0.6×

Risk flags

Burning cash — operating margin is negative.Thin gross margin — keeps little of each sales dollar (judge it against its industry).Heavy share dilution (>5%/yr) — your slice shrinks.

Positive signals

Growth accelerating — revenue growth sped up ~40 points year-on-year; acceleration is an early fundamental tell (annual data, so it's coarse).

Insider activity (90 days)

Cluster buyers	0
Sellers	2

Insider selling is routine diversification, not a bearish signal.

Analyst mix

Strong buy	10
Buy	14
Hold	4
Sell	0
Strong sell	0

Ratings are context, not a price target. "Momentum" = how the mix changed over recent weeks, not a forecast.

AI take — daily, AI-generated

AI leans mixed

Strong growth (84.4%) and decent profitability per asset (0.09) are positives, but weak margins (26.5%) and missing runway data are concerns; solid fundamentals but not exceptional.

Generated by an AI model from the day's news — an opinion for context only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a price target.

Similar Emerging Frontier names

Centrus Energy Corp.Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.SoundHound AI, Inc.Nano Nuclear Energy Inc.Ouster, Inc.

← All Emerging Frontier names · Open AVAV in the interactive screener →

Data as of 2026-10-05 08:19 (end-of-day). How grades are computed →