A research filter, not a predictor — not financial advice. Grades rank growth stocks on evidence-based quality signals from end-of-day data; they are not buy/sell calls or price forecasts. Always do your own research.

AeroVironment, Inc. AVAV

Promising (early) Emerging Frontier sector · AeroVironment — military drones and loitering munitions, a defense-tech leader.

AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) is an early-stage Emerging Frontier company, graded Promising (early) on FrontierLab's evidence-based quality rubric (data as of 2026-08-21). Revenue grew 140.9% year-over-year at a 25.3% gross margin. Gross-profits-to-assets is 0.09; Rule of 40 is 125.2. Net share issuance 73.7% YoY (heavy issuance). 4 risk flags are noted below.

These sentences are generated from the day's data by deterministic templates.

Key quality signals

Revenue growth (YoY)	140.9%
Gross margin	25.3%
Gross profits / assets	0.09
Rule of 40	125.2
Net margin	-15.7%
Cash runway (months)	96.8
PEG	—
Price / sales	4.1

Quality checklist

Each line is one quality test behind the grade — ✓ passed · ~ borderline · ✗ failed. Hover a metric in the tables below for what it means.

✓ Revenue growth — 140.9% (pass ≥ 20%)
✓ Capital efficiency
~ Gross margin — 25.3% (pass ≥ 45% · Emerging Frontier)
✗ Gross-margin trend — -14.1 (pass ≥ 2)
✓ Share dilution — 73.7%
~ Competitive moat — Narrow
✓ Market size (TAM) — Large

Grade history

2026-07-02 — Promising (early) (from Mixed (early))
2026-06-10 — Mixed (early) (first graded)

Every grade change since FrontierLab began tracking this name — the receipts behind the current grade.

How have Early-stage-graded names performed?

The forward returns of all Early-stage-graded names since each grade was recorded — the bucket this name currently sits in, not a forecast of this individual stock.

Window	Forward record vs the S&P	Median
~1 month	69% of Early-stage-graded names beat the S&P over 21 sessions (95% CI 51–82%, N=32).	Median excess vs the S&P was +3.9%.
~3 months	building — 13 more sessions needed
~6 months	building — 76 more sessions needed

How have this name's flags scored?

Flag	N	Mean excess vs S&P
Burning cash — operating margin is negative.	35	+7.4%
Thin gross margin — keeps little of each sales dollar (judge it against its industry).	20	+2.1%
Heavy dilution (~74%/yr) — top-decile share issuers have historically underperformed.	sample still too small to report (need ≥ 8)
Hyper-expansion — assets up ~410% in a year; aggressive expanders have historically lagged.	sample still too small to report (need ≥ 8)

These per-flag figures are observational — a flag firing is not a randomized assignment, so any edge can reflect what kind of names trip a flag, not the flag itself. Descriptive, not causal.

Scope: these are forward returns vs the S&P among names still covered at each horizon's end, within the curated universe — not a survivorship-clean whole-market backtest. Names later dropped from coverage are counted as attrition (not hidden), and single-session moves beyond ±300% are treated as split/data artifacts and excluded. How this is measured → · Full track record →

How it compares

Revenue growth: higher than most Emerging Frontier peers (N=8)

Gross margin: lower than most Emerging Frontier peers (N=8)

Coarse same-sector, same-stage context — not a percentile or rank. GP/A is graded on its absolute level, not position.

Fundamentals

Market cap	$8.09B
Stage	Early
Share issuance (YoY)	73.7% · heavy issuance
Moat	Narrow
TAM	LARGE
P/E (trailing)	—
EPS (trailing)	$-6.37
Burn multiple	0
Gross-margin trend (pts)	-14.1
Cash / assets	0.11
Accruals (%)	-5.5%
Net debt / EBITDA	—
Statements as of	Q4 FY2026 · filed 2026-06-29

Momentum context — describes the past, not a signal

52-week range

$135.2$417.86

Low reached Jun 25, 2026 · high reached Oct 13, 2025 — by daily close.

Price	$159.79 (as of 2026-08-20)
Last session move	—
% off 52-wk high	-61.8%
RSI (14)	44
Relative volume	1.4×

Risk flags

Burning cash — operating margin is negative.Thin gross margin — keeps little of each sales dollar (judge it against its industry).Heavy dilution (~74%/yr) — top-decile share issuers have historically underperformed.Hyper-expansion — assets up ~410% in a year; aggressive expanders have historically lagged.

Positive signals

Growth accelerating — revenue growth sped up ~126 points year-on-year; acceleration is an early fundamental tell (annual data, so it's coarse).

Insider activity (90 days)

Cluster buyers	0
Sellers	2

Insider selling is routine diversification, not a bearish signal.

AI take — daily, AI-generated

AI leans mixed

Strong growth (140.9%) and long runway (97 months) are attractive, but weak margins (25.3%) and low GP/A (0.09) suggest execution risk.

Generated by an AI model from the day's news — an opinion for context only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a price target.

Similar Emerging Frontier names

Centrus Energy Corp.Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.SoundHound AI, Inc.Absci CorporationNano Nuclear Energy Inc.

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Data as of 2026-08-21 08:12 (end-of-day). How grades are computed →