Uranium Energy Corp. UEC
Weak (early) Emerging Frontier sector · Uranium Energy — US uranium miner leveraged to the nuclear-fuel cycle.
🗓 Reports earnings in 64 days (2026-12-09) — calendar context, not a prediction.
Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC) is an early-stage Emerging Frontier company, graded Weak (early) on FrontierLab's evidence-based quality rubric (data as of 2026-10-05). Revenue grew -69.8% year-over-year at a 42.3% gross margin. Gross-profits-to-assets is 0.01; Rule of 40 is -700.1. Net share issuance 14.1% YoY (heavy issuance). 2 risk flags are noted below. Analyst mix: 11 buy / 2 hold / 0 sell. Track record: 27% of Early-stage-graded names beat the S&P over 63 sessions (95% CI 15–44%, N=33). Median excess vs the S&P was -14.6%.
These sentences are generated from the day's data by deterministic templates.
Key quality signals
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -69.8% |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 42.3% |
| Gross profits / assets | 0.01 |
| Rule of 40 | -700.1 |
| Net margin | -630.3% |
| Cash runway (months) | 51.6 |
| PEG | — |
| Price / sales | 227.8 |
Quality checklist
Each line is one quality test behind the grade — ✓ passed · ~ borderline · ✗ failed. Hover a metric in the tables below for what it means.
- ✗ Revenue growth — -69.8% (pass ≥ 20%)
- ✗ Capital efficiency
- ~ Gross margin — 42.3% (pass ≥ 45% · Emerging Frontier)
- ✓ Gross-margin trend — 25.4 (pass ≥ 2)
- ✗ Share dilution — 14.1%
- ~ Competitive moat — Narrow
- ✓ Market size (TAM) — Large
Grade history
Graded Weak (early) since 2026-06-10 — no grade changes recorded yet.
How have Early-stage-graded names performed?
The forward returns of all Early-stage-graded names since each grade was recorded — the bucket this name currently sits in, not a forecast of this individual stock.
| Window | Forward record vs the S&P | Median |
|---|---|---|
| ~1 month | 45% of Early-stage-graded names beat the S&P over 21 sessions (95% CI 29–62%, N=31). | Median excess vs the S&P was -3.2%. |
| ~3 months | 27% of Early-stage-graded names beat the S&P over 63 sessions (95% CI 15–44%, N=33). | Median excess vs the S&P was -14.6%. |
| ~6 months | building — 46 more sessions needed | |
How have this name's flags scored?
| Flag | N | Mean excess vs S&P |
|---|---|---|
| Burning cash — operating margin is negative. | 36 | -6.5% |
| Heavy dilution (~14%/yr) — top-decile share issuers have historically underperformed. | sample still too small to report (need ≥ 8) | |
These per-flag figures are observational — a flag firing is not a randomized assignment, so any edge can reflect what kind of names trip a flag, not the flag itself. Descriptive, not causal.
Scope: these are forward returns vs the S&P among names still covered at each horizon's end, within the curated universe — not a survivorship-clean whole-market backtest. Names later dropped from coverage are counted as attrition (not hidden), and single-session moves beyond ±300% are treated as split/data artifacts and excluded. How this is measured → · Full track record →
How it compares
Coarse same-sector, same-stage context — not a percentile or rank. GP/A is graded on its absolute level, not position.
Fundamentals
| Market cap | $4.60B |
|---|---|
| Stage | Early |
| Share issuance (YoY) | 14.1% · heavy issuance |
| Moat | Narrow |
| TAM | LARGE |
| P/E (trailing) | — |
| EPS (trailing) | $-0.22 |
| Burn multiple | 5.6 |
| Gross-margin trend (pts) | 25.4 |
| Cash / assets | 0.32 |
| Accruals (%) | 0.8% |
| Net debt / EBITDA | — |
| Statements as of | Q3 FY2026 · filed 2026-06-09 |
Momentum context — describes the past, not a signal
Low reached Jul 29, 2026 · high reached Jan 28, 2026 — by daily close.
| Price | $9.30 (as of 2026-10-02) |
|---|---|
| Last session move | — |
| % off 52-wk high | -54.3% |
| RSI (14) | 35 |
| Relative volume | 0.9× |
Risk flags
Analyst mix
| Strong buy | 1 |
|---|---|
| Buy | 10 |
| Hold | 2 |
| Sell | 0 |
| Strong sell | 0 |
Ratings are context, not a price target. "Momentum" = how the mix changed over recent weeks, not a forecast.
From the headlines
- Is Uranium Energy (UEC) Priced for a Future It Hasn’t Built?
- Uranium Prices Just Broke a 19-Year Record, but Nuclear Stocks Are Collapsing Anyway
- Uranium Energy (UEC) Stock May Be Above Fair Value Following Its 209% Run
- Is It Worth Investing in Uranium Energy (UEC) Based on Wall Street's Bullish Views?
AI take — daily, AI-generated
AI leans cautious
Negative growth (-69.8%) is a major red flag that overshadows the decent margin; this is a declining business.
Generated by an AI model from the day's news — an opinion for context only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a price target.
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Data as of 2026-10-05 08:19 (end-of-day). How grades are computed →