Shopify Inc. SHOP
Strong Consumer Tech sector · The commerce platform powering millions of independent online stores.
Shopify Inc. (SHOP) is an established Consumer Tech company, graded Strong on FrontierLab's evidence-based quality rubric (data as of 2026-08-21). Revenue grew 32.5% year-over-year at a 47.8% gross margin. Gross-profits-to-assets is 0.44; Rule of 40 is 46.4. Net share issuance -0.8% YoY (flat share count). 1 risk flag is noted below. Analyst mix: 42 buy / 10 hold / 1 sell.
These sentences are generated from the day's data by deterministic templates.
Key quality signals
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 32.5% |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 47.8% |
| Gross profits / assets | 0.44 |
| Rule of 40 | 46.4 |
| Net margin | 13.9% |
| Cash runway (months) | — |
| PEG | — |
| Price / sales | 14.4 |
Quality checklist
Each line is one quality test behind the grade — ✓ passed · ~ borderline · ✗ failed. Hover a metric in the tables below for what it means.
- ✓ Revenue growth — 32.5% (pass ≥ 20%)
- ✓ Gross profits / assets — 0.44 (pass ≥ 0.33)
- · Rule of 40 — 46.4 (context — graded for software only)
- ✓ Gross margin — 47.8% (pass ≥ 38% · Consumer Tech)
- ✓ Cash generation
- ✓ Share dilution — -0.8%
- ~ Competitive moat — Narrow
- ✓ Market size (TAM) — Large
Grade history
Graded Strong since 2026-06-10 — no grade changes recorded yet.
How have Strong-graded names performed?
The forward returns of all Strong-graded names since each grade was recorded — the bucket this name currently sits in, not a forecast of this individual stock.
| Window | Forward record vs the S&P | Median |
|---|---|---|
| ~1 month | 59% of Strong-graded names beat the S&P over 21 sessions (95% CI 41–74%, N=29). | Median excess vs the S&P was +4.2%. |
| ~3 months | building — 13 more sessions needed | |
| ~6 months | building — 76 more sessions needed | |
How have this name's flags scored?
| Flag | N | Mean excess vs S&P |
|---|---|---|
| Parabolic one-day spike (+17%) in the last month — extreme single-day moves tend to mean-revert. | sample still too small to report (need ≥ 8) | |
These per-flag figures are observational — a flag firing is not a randomized assignment, so any edge can reflect what kind of names trip a flag, not the flag itself. Descriptive, not causal.
Scope: these are forward returns vs the S&P among names still covered at each horizon's end, within the curated universe — not a survivorship-clean whole-market backtest. Names later dropped from coverage are counted as attrition (not hidden), and single-session moves beyond ±300% are treated as split/data artifacts and excluded. How this is measured → · Full track record →
How it compares
Coarse same-sector, same-stage context — not a percentile or rank. GP/A is graded on its absolute level, not position.
Fundamentals
| Market cap | $190.99B |
|---|---|
| Stage | Established |
| Share issuance (YoY) | -0.8% · flat share count |
| Moat | Narrow |
| TAM | LARGE |
| P/E (trailing) | 98.8 |
| EPS (trailing) | $1.49 |
| Burn multiple | — |
| Gross-margin trend (pts) | -1.5 |
| Cash / assets | 0.34 |
| Accruals (%) | -3.1% |
| Net debt / EBITDA | — |
| Statements as of | Q2 FY2026 · filed 2026-08-05 |
Momentum context — describes the past, not a signal
Low reached May 13, 2026 · high reached Oct 29, 2025 — by daily close.
| Price | $147.18 (as of 2026-08-20) |
|---|---|
| Last session move | — |
| % off 52-wk high | -19.2% |
| RSI (14) | 59 |
| Relative volume | 0.5× |
Risk flags
Analyst mix
| Strong buy | 11 |
|---|---|
| Buy | 31 |
| Hold | 10 |
| Sell | 0 |
| Strong sell | 1 |
• Coverage changed — coverage 54→53 analysts over ~4 weeks (per aggregated analyst ratings)
Ratings are context, not a price target. "Momentum" = how the mix changed over recent weeks, not a forecast.
From the headlines
Rosenblatt initiates Buy coverage with $175 price target; analyst coverage and historical performance highlighted.
- Rosenblatt Initiates Coverage On Shopify with Buy Rating, Announces Price Target of $175
- $100 Invested In Shopify 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today
AI take — daily, AI-generated
AI leans positive
Robust 32.5% growth with healthy 47.8% margins and fresh analyst buy coverage at $175; missing PEG data limits full conviction but growth trajectory is compelling.
Generated by an AI model from the day's news — an opinion for context only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a price target.
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Data as of 2026-08-21 08:12 (end-of-day). How grades are computed →