Tesla, Inc. TSLA
Mixed EV & Mobility sector · EV leader pivoting the story to autonomy, energy storage and robotics — priced for a lot of it.
▲ Upgraded Weak → Mixed on 2026-07-27.
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) is an established EV & Mobility company, graded Mixed on FrontierLab's evidence-based quality rubric (data as of 2026-08-21). Revenue grew 11.8% year-over-year at a 18.9% gross margin. Gross-profits-to-assets is 0.13; Rule of 40 is 16. Net share issuance 0.6% YoY (flat share count). 1 risk flag is noted below. Analyst mix: 30 buy / 24 hold / 7 sell.
These sentences are generated from the day's data by deterministic templates.
Key quality signals
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 11.8% |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 18.9% |
| Gross profits / assets | 0.13 |
| Rule of 40 | 16 |
| Net margin | 4.2% |
| Cash runway (months) | — |
| PEG | — |
| Price / sales | 13.2 |
Quality checklist
Each line is one quality test behind the grade — ✓ passed · ~ borderline · ✗ failed. Hover a metric in the tables below for what it means.
- ~ Revenue growth — 11.8% (pass ≥ 20%)
- ✗ Gross profits / assets — 0.13 (pass ≥ 0.33)
- · Rule of 40 — 16 (context — graded for software only)
- ~ Gross margin — 18.9% (pass ≥ 25% · EV & Mobility)
- ✓ Cash generation
- ✓ Share dilution — 0.6%
- ~ Competitive moat — Narrow
- ✓ Market size (TAM) — Large
Grade history
- 2026-07-27 — Mixed (from Weak)
- 2026-06-10 — Weak (first graded)
Every grade change since FrontierLab began tracking this name — the receipts behind the current grade.
How have Mixed-graded names performed?
The forward returns of all Mixed-graded names since each grade was recorded — the bucket this name currently sits in, not a forecast of this individual stock.
| Window | Forward record vs the S&P | Median |
|---|---|---|
| ~1 month | 53% of Mixed-graded names beat the S&P over 21 sessions (95% CI 31–74%, N=17). | Median excess vs the S&P was 0%. |
| ~3 months | building — 13 more sessions needed | |
| ~6 months | building — 76 more sessions needed | |
How have this name's flags scored?
| Flag | N | Mean excess vs S&P |
|---|---|---|
| Thin gross margin — keeps little of each sales dollar (judge it against its industry). | 20 | +2.1% |
These per-flag figures are observational — a flag firing is not a randomized assignment, so any edge can reflect what kind of names trip a flag, not the flag itself. Descriptive, not causal.
Scope: these are forward returns vs the S&P among names still covered at each horizon's end, within the curated universe — not a survivorship-clean whole-market backtest. Names later dropped from coverage are counted as attrition (not hidden), and single-session moves beyond ±300% are treated as split/data artifacts and excluded. How this is measured → · Full track record →
How it compares
Coarse same-sector, same-stage context — not a percentile or rank. GP/A is graded on its absolute level, not position.
Fundamentals
| Market cap | $1.36T |
|---|---|
| Stage | Established |
| Share issuance (YoY) | 0.6% · flat share count |
| Moat | Narrow |
| TAM | LARGE |
| P/E (trailing) | 319.6 |
| EPS (trailing) | $1.08 |
| Burn multiple | — |
| Gross-margin trend (pts) | 1.4 |
| Cash / assets | 0.29 |
| Accruals (%) | -10.7% |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -0.5 |
| Statements as of | Q2 FY2026 · filed 2026-07-23 |
Momentum context — describes the past, not a signal
Low reached Jul 29, 2026 · high reached Dec 16, 2025 — by daily close.
| Price | $345.13 (as of 2026-08-20) |
|---|---|
| Last session move | — |
| % off 52-wk high | -30.8% |
| RSI (14) | 50 |
| Relative volume | 0.9× |
Risk flags
Positive signals
Insider activity (90 days)
| Cluster buyers | 0 |
|---|---|
| Sellers | 1 |
Insider selling is routine diversification, not a bearish signal.
Analyst mix
| Strong buy | 10 |
|---|---|
| Buy | 20 |
| Hold | 24 |
| Sell | 6 |
| Strong sell | 1 |
▲ Analyst view improving — net +1 buy rating, coverage 60→61 analysts over ~4 weeks (per aggregated analyst ratings)
Ratings are context, not a price target. "Momentum" = how the mix changed over recent weeks, not a forecast.
AI take — daily, AI-generated
AI leans mixed
Tesla shows modest growth with thin margins and weak asset efficiency, suggesting the stock is pricing in optimism that fundamentals don't yet support; high retail bullishness is a caution flag.
Generated by an AI model from the day's news — an opinion for context only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a price target.
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Data as of 2026-08-21 08:12 (end-of-day). How grades are computed →