Rivian Automotive, Inc. RIVN
Weak EV & Mobility sector · Premium EV trucks/SUVs with a VW partnership — scaling production while burning cash.
Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) is an established EV & Mobility company, graded Weak on FrontierLab's evidence-based quality rubric (data as of 2026-08-21). Revenue grew 14.2% year-over-year at a 7.5% gross margin. Gross-profits-to-assets is 0.03; Rule of 40 is -45.9. Net share issuance 11.4% YoY (heavy issuance). 3 risk flags are noted below. Analyst mix: 20 buy / 9 hold / 5 sell.
These sentences are generated from the day's data by deterministic templates.
Key quality signals
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 14.2% |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 7.5% |
| Gross profits / assets | 0.03 |
| Rule of 40 | -45.9 |
| Net margin | -60.1% |
| Cash runway (months) | 34.5 |
| PEG | — |
| Price / sales | 3.3 |
Quality checklist
Each line is one quality test behind the grade — ✓ passed · ~ borderline · ✗ failed. Hover a metric in the tables below for what it means.
- ~ Revenue growth — 14.2% (pass ≥ 20%)
- ✗ Gross profits / assets — 0.03 (pass ≥ 0.33)
- · Rule of 40 — -45.9 (context — graded for software only)
- ✗ Gross margin — 7.5% (pass ≥ 25% · EV & Mobility)
- ~ Cash generation
- ✗ Share dilution — 11.4%
- ✗ Competitive moat — None
- ✓ Market size (TAM) — Large
Grade history
Graded Weak since 2026-06-10 — no grade changes recorded yet.
How have Weak-graded names performed?
The forward returns of all Weak-graded names since each grade was recorded — the bucket this name currently sits in, not a forecast of this individual stock.
| Window | Forward record vs the S&P | Median |
|---|---|---|
| ~1 month | 60% of Weak-graded names beat the S&P over 21 sessions (95% CI 39–78%, N=20). | Median excess vs the S&P was +0.6%. |
| ~3 months | building — 13 more sessions needed | |
| ~6 months | building — 76 more sessions needed | |
How have this name's flags scored?
| Flag | N | Mean excess vs S&P |
|---|---|---|
| Burning cash — operating margin is negative. | 35 | +7.4% |
| Thin gross margin — keeps little of each sales dollar (judge it against its industry). | 20 | +2.1% |
| Heavy dilution (~11%/yr) — top-decile share issuers have historically underperformed. | sample still too small to report (need ≥ 8) | |
These per-flag figures are observational — a flag firing is not a randomized assignment, so any edge can reflect what kind of names trip a flag, not the flag itself. Descriptive, not causal.
Scope: these are forward returns vs the S&P among names still covered at each horizon's end, within the curated universe — not a survivorship-clean whole-market backtest. Names later dropped from coverage are counted as attrition (not hidden), and single-session moves beyond ±300% are treated as split/data artifacts and excluded. How this is measured → · Full track record →
How it compares
Coarse same-sector, same-stage context — not a percentile or rank. GP/A is graded on its absolute level, not position.
Fundamentals
| Market cap | $19.43B |
|---|---|
| Stage | Established |
| Share issuance (YoY) | 11.4% · heavy issuance |
| Moat | None |
| TAM | LARGE |
| P/E (trailing) | — |
| EPS (trailing) | $-2.58 |
| Burn multiple | 0.3 |
| Gross-margin trend (pts) | 11.8 |
| Cash / assets | 0.35 |
| Accruals (%) | -9% |
| Net debt / EBITDA | — |
| Statements as of | Q2 FY2026 · filed 2026-07-30 |
Momentum context — describes the past, not a signal
Low reached Aug 21, 2025 · high reached Dec 19, 2025 — by daily close.
| Price | $16.01 (as of 2026-08-20) |
|---|---|
| Last session move | — |
| % off 52-wk high | -29.4% |
| RSI (14) | 50 |
| Relative volume | 0.8× |
Risk flags
Positive signals
Insider activity (90 days)
| Cluster buyers | 0 |
|---|---|
| Sellers | 3 |
Insider selling is routine diversification, not a bearish signal.
Analyst mix
| Strong buy | 5 |
|---|---|
| Buy | 15 |
| Hold | 9 |
| Sell | 4 |
| Strong sell | 1 |
▲ Analyst view improving — net +1 buy rating over ~4 weeks (per aggregated analyst ratings)
Ratings are context, not a price target. "Momentum" = how the mix changed over recent weeks, not a forecast.
From the headlines
Institutional investors added 70M+ shares; company pushes toward profitability.
- Rivian: Healthy R2 Indicators As Company Pushes For Profitability
- Institutional Investors Added Over 70 Million RIVN Shares as AMZN, UBER Remain Key Holders
AI take — daily, AI-generated
AI leans mixed
Rivian has decent growth but terrible margins and minimal asset returns, while runway of 34.5 months gives some breathing room—institutional buying is encouraging but profitability remains unproven.
Generated by an AI model from the day's news — an opinion for context only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a price target.
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Data as of 2026-08-21 08:12 (end-of-day). How grades are computed →