ASML Holding N.V. ASML
Mixed Semiconductors sector · Sole maker of EUV lithography machines — no advanced chip gets built without them.
▼ Downgraded Insufficient → Mixed on 2026-08-10.
ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) is an established Semiconductors company, graded Mixed on FrontierLab's evidence-based quality rubric (data as of 2026-10-05). Revenue grew 9.8% year-over-year at a 52.7% gross margin. Gross-profits-to-assets is 0.37; Rule of 40 is 45.2. Net share issuance -0.7% YoY (flat share count). No risk flags are currently noted. Analyst mix: 36 buy / 4 hold / 2 sell. Track record: 24% of Mixed-graded names beat the S&P over 63 sessions (95% CI 10–47%, N=17). Median excess vs the S&P was -7.2%.
These sentences are generated from the day's data by deterministic templates.
Key quality signals
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 9.8% |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 52.7% |
| Gross profits / assets | 0.37 |
| Rule of 40 | 45.2 |
| Net margin | 35.4% |
| Cash runway (months) | — |
| PEG | 4.6 |
| Price / sales | 20.4 |
Quality checklist
Each line is one quality test behind the grade — ✓ passed · ~ borderline · ✗ failed. Hover a metric in the tables below for what it means.
- ✗ Revenue growth — 9.8% (pass ≥ 20%)
- ✓ Gross profits / assets — 0.37 (pass ≥ 0.33)
- · Rule of 40 — 45.2 (context — graded for software only)
- ✓ Gross margin — 52.7% (pass ≥ 50% · Semiconductors)
- ✓ Cash generation
- ✓ Share dilution — -0.7%
- ✓ Competitive moat — Wide
- ✓ Market size (TAM) — Large
Grade history
- 2026-08-10 — Mixed (from Insufficient)
- 2026-07-31 — Insufficient (from Mixed)
- 2026-06-10 — Mixed (first graded)
Every grade change since FrontierLab began tracking this name — the receipts behind the current grade.
How have Mixed-graded names performed?
The forward returns of all Mixed-graded names since each grade was recorded — the bucket this name currently sits in, not a forecast of this individual stock.
| Window | Forward record vs the S&P | Median |
|---|---|---|
| ~1 month | 28% of Mixed-graded names beat the S&P over 21 sessions (95% CI 12–51%, N=18). | Median excess vs the S&P was -8.2%. |
| ~3 months | 24% of Mixed-graded names beat the S&P over 63 sessions (95% CI 10–47%, N=17). | Median excess vs the S&P was -7.2%. |
| ~6 months | building — 46 more sessions needed | |
Scope: these are forward returns vs the S&P among names still covered at each horizon's end, within the curated universe — not a survivorship-clean whole-market backtest. Names later dropped from coverage are counted as attrition (not hidden), and single-session moves beyond ±300% are treated as split/data artifacts and excluded. How this is measured → · Full track record →
How it compares
Coarse same-sector, same-stage context — not a percentile or rank. GP/A is graded on its absolute level, not position.
Fundamentals
| Market cap | $719.69B |
|---|---|
| Stage | Established |
| Share issuance (YoY) | -0.7% · flat share count |
| Moat | Wide |
| TAM | LARGE |
| P/E (trailing) | 67.8 |
| EPS (trailing) | $27.53 |
| Burn multiple | — |
| Gross-margin trend (pts) | 0.2 |
| Cash / assets | 0.15 |
| Accruals (%) | -1.8% |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -0.3 |
| Statements as of | Q2 FY2026 · filed 2026-07-15 |
Momentum context — describes the past, not a signal
Low reached Oct 10, 2025 · high reached Jun 30, 2026 — by daily close.
| Price | $1867.31 (as of 2026-10-02) |
|---|---|
| Last session move | — |
| % off 52-wk high | -6.6% |
| RSI (14) | 65 |
| Relative volume | 1× |
Analyst mix
| Strong buy | 9 |
|---|---|
| Buy | 27 |
| Hold | 4 |
| Sell | 2 |
| Strong sell | 0 |
Ratings are context, not a price target. "Momentum" = how the mix changed over recent weeks, not a forecast.
From the headlines
ASML highlighted as critical enabler of AI chip revolution; revenue trends compared to peers.
- ASML Holding vs. Qualcomm: What Revenue Trends Tell Investors About These Semiconductor Industry Giants
- ASML vs. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company: What Revenue Trends Tell Investors About These Companies Tied to Artificial Intelligence
AI take — daily, AI-generated
AI leans cautious
Despite being critical AI infrastructure, ASML's 9.8% growth and 4.6 PEG are expensive relative to peers, making the AI narrative priced in.
Generated by an AI model from the day's news — an opinion for context only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a price target.
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Data as of 2026-10-05 08:19 (end-of-day). How grades are computed →