Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares ARM
Strong Semiconductors sector · Licenses the CPU architecture inside nearly every phone — now pushing into data centers.
Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares (ARM) is an established Semiconductors company, graded Strong on FrontierLab's evidence-based quality rubric (data as of 2026-10-05). Revenue grew 25.1% year-over-year at a 95.3% gross margin. Gross-profits-to-assets is 0.44; Rule of 40 is 42.4. Net share issuance 1.2% YoY (modest issuance). 1 risk flag is noted below. Analyst mix: 27 buy / 16 hold / 2 sell. Track record: 55% of Strong-graded names beat the S&P over 63 sessions (95% CI 38–72%, N=29). Median excess vs the S&P was +2.2%.
These sentences are generated from the day's data by deterministic templates.
Key quality signals
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 25.1% |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 95.3% |
| Gross profits / assets | 0.44 |
| Rule of 40 | 42.4 |
| Net margin | 17.3% |
| Cash runway (months) | — |
| PEG | 6.7 |
| Price / sales | 63.7 |
Quality checklist
Each line is one quality test behind the grade — ✓ passed · ~ borderline · ✗ failed. Hover a metric in the tables below for what it means.
- ~ Revenue growth — 25.1% (pass ≥ 20%)
- ✓ Gross profits / assets — 0.44 (pass ≥ 0.33)
- · Rule of 40 — 42.4 (context — graded for software only)
- ✓ Gross margin — 95.3% (pass ≥ 50% · Semiconductors)
- ✓ Cash generation
- ~ Share dilution — 1.2%
- ✓ Competitive moat — Wide
- ✓ Market size (TAM) — Large
Grade history
Graded Strong since 2026-06-10 — no grade changes recorded yet.
How have Strong-graded names performed?
The forward returns of all Strong-graded names since each grade was recorded — the bucket this name currently sits in, not a forecast of this individual stock.
| Window | Forward record vs the S&P | Median |
|---|---|---|
| ~1 month | 50% of Strong-graded names beat the S&P over 21 sessions (95% CI 33–67%, N=30). | Median excess vs the S&P was +0.9%. |
| ~3 months | 55% of Strong-graded names beat the S&P over 63 sessions (95% CI 38–72%, N=29). | Median excess vs the S&P was +2.2%. |
| ~6 months | building — 46 more sessions needed | |
How have this name's flags scored?
| Flag | N | Mean excess vs S&P |
|---|---|---|
| Parabolic one-day spike (+17%) in the last month — extreme single-day moves tend to mean-revert. | sample still too small to report (need ≥ 8) | |
These per-flag figures are observational — a flag firing is not a randomized assignment, so any edge can reflect what kind of names trip a flag, not the flag itself. Descriptive, not causal.
Scope: these are forward returns vs the S&P among names still covered at each horizon's end, within the curated universe — not a survivorship-clean whole-market backtest. Names later dropped from coverage are counted as attrition (not hidden), and single-session moves beyond ±300% are treated as split/data artifacts and excluded. How this is measured → · Full track record →
How it compares
Coarse same-sector, same-stage context — not a percentile or rank. GP/A is graded on its absolute level, not position.
Fundamentals
| Market cap | $328.40B |
|---|---|
| Stage | Established |
| Share issuance (YoY) | 1.2% · modest issuance |
| Moat | Wide |
| TAM | LARGE |
| P/E (trailing) | 317 |
| EPS (trailing) | $0.97 |
| Burn multiple | — |
| Gross-margin trend (pts) | 0.6 |
| Cash / assets | 0.35 |
| Accruals (%) | -10.2% |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -1.9 |
| Statements as of | Q1 FY2027 · filed 2026-07-29 |
Momentum context — describes the past, not a signal
Low reached Feb 3, 2026 · high reached Jun 18, 2026 — by daily close.
| Price | $307.49 (as of 2026-10-02) |
|---|---|
| Last session move | — |
| % off 52-wk high | -32.1% |
| RSI (14) | 59 |
| Relative volume | 1× |
Risk flags
Insider activity (90 days)
| Cluster buyers | 0 |
|---|---|
| Sellers | 1 |
Insider selling is routine diversification, not a bearish signal.
Analyst mix
| Strong buy | 5 |
|---|---|
| Buy | 22 |
| Hold | 16 |
| Sell | 1 |
| Strong sell | 1 |
Ratings are context, not a price target. "Momentum" = how the mix changed over recent weeks, not a forecast.
From the headlines
Arm stock above Wall Street target; competitive positioning and chip-selling strategy under review.
- Arm Holdings Stock Closed Above Wall Street’s $289 Target. Here’s the Margin Math That Decides What Comes Next
- Astera Labs vs. Arm: Which Semiconductor Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?
- Will Selling Chips Strengthen Arm’s Moat or Put It at Risk?
AI take — daily, AI-generated
AI leans cautious
Arm's 95% gross margin and 25% growth are compelling, but 6.7 PEG and 13% dilution signal the stock is pricing in perfection; already above consensus.
Generated by an AI model from the day's news — an opinion for context only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a price target.
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Data as of 2026-10-05 08:19 (end-of-day). How grades are computed →