AGCO Corporation AGCO
Mixed AgriTech sector · Global tractor and smart-farming equipment maker.
AGCO Corporation (AGCO) is an established AgriTech company, graded Mixed on FrontierLab's evidence-based quality rubric (data as of 2026-10-05). Revenue grew 1.7% year-over-year at a 25% gross margin. Gross-profits-to-assets is 0.22; Rule of 40 is 8.3. Net share issuance -4.7% YoY (buying back shares). 1 risk flag is noted below. Analyst mix: 11 buy / 10 hold / 2 sell. 1 distinct insider cluster-buyer in the last 90 days. Track record: 24% of Mixed-graded names beat the S&P over 63 sessions (95% CI 10–47%, N=17). Median excess vs the S&P was -7.2%.
These sentences are generated from the day's data by deterministic templates.
Key quality signals
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 1.7% |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 25% |
| Gross profits / assets | 0.22 |
| Rule of 40 | 8.3 |
| Net margin | 6.6% |
| Cash runway (months) | — |
| PEG | — |
| Price / sales | 0.8 |
Quality checklist
Each line is one quality test behind the grade — ✓ passed · ~ borderline · ✗ failed. Hover a metric in the tables below for what it means.
- ✗ Revenue growth — 1.7% (pass ≥ 20%)
- ~ Gross profits / assets — 0.22 (pass ≥ 0.33)
- · Rule of 40 — 8.3 (context — graded for software only)
- ~ Gross margin — 25% (pass ≥ 28% · AgriTech)
- ✓ Cash generation
- ✓ Share dilution — -4.7%
- ~ Competitive moat — Narrow
- ~ Market size (TAM) — Mod
Grade history
Graded Mixed since 2026-06-10 — no grade changes recorded yet.
How have Mixed-graded names performed?
The forward returns of all Mixed-graded names since each grade was recorded — the bucket this name currently sits in, not a forecast of this individual stock.
| Window | Forward record vs the S&P | Median |
|---|---|---|
| ~1 month | 28% of Mixed-graded names beat the S&P over 21 sessions (95% CI 12–51%, N=18). | Median excess vs the S&P was -8.2%. |
| ~3 months | 24% of Mixed-graded names beat the S&P over 63 sessions (95% CI 10–47%, N=17). | Median excess vs the S&P was -7.2%. |
| ~6 months | building — 46 more sessions needed | |
How have this name's flags scored?
| Flag | N | Mean excess vs S&P |
|---|---|---|
| Thin gross margin — keeps little of each sales dollar (judge it against its industry). | 21 | -18.4% |
These per-flag figures are observational — a flag firing is not a randomized assignment, so any edge can reflect what kind of names trip a flag, not the flag itself. Descriptive, not causal.
Scope: these are forward returns vs the S&P among names still covered at each horizon's end, within the curated universe — not a survivorship-clean whole-market backtest. Names later dropped from coverage are counted as attrition (not hidden), and single-session moves beyond ±300% are treated as split/data artifacts and excluded. How this is measured → · Full track record →
How it compares
Coarse same-sector, same-stage context — not a percentile or rank. GP/A is graded on its absolute level, not position.
Fundamentals
| Market cap | $8.03B |
|---|---|
| Stage | Established |
| Share issuance (YoY) | -4.7% · buying back shares |
| Moat | Narrow |
| TAM | MOD |
| P/E (trailing) | 15.9 |
| EPS (trailing) | $7.22 |
| Burn multiple | — |
| Gross-margin trend (pts) | 1.1 |
| Cash / assets | 0.05 |
| Accruals (%) | -0.5% |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -0.4 |
| Statements as of | Q2 FY2026 · filed 2026-07-30 |
Momentum context — describes the past, not a signal
Low reached Aug 18, 2026 · high reached Feb 13, 2026 — by daily close.
| Price | $114.61 (as of 2026-10-02) |
|---|---|
| Last session move | — |
| % off 52-wk high | -20.3% |
| RSI (14) | 46 |
| Relative volume | 0.8× |
Risk flags
Positive signals
Insider activity (90 days)
| Cluster buyers | 1 |
|---|---|
| Sellers | 4 |
Insider selling is routine diversification, not a bearish signal.
Analyst mix
| Strong buy | 5 |
|---|---|
| Buy | 6 |
| Hold | 10 |
| Sell | 2 |
| Strong sell | 0 |
Ratings are context, not a price target. "Momentum" = how the mix changed over recent weeks, not a forecast.
From the headlines
AGCO shows solid business fundamentals; product innovations in tractors noted.
- AGCO Corporation: PTx Growth, Share Gains And Better Margins Support The Upside
- Should AGCO’s (AGCO) Massey Ferguson Value Compact Tractor Deal Reshape Its Competitive Positioning?
- AGCO Corporation: Solid Business, But Lacking The Bullish Conviction
AI take — daily, AI-generated
AI leans cautious
AGCO's 1.7% growth is essentially stalled, and despite decent GP/A (0.22), the combination of margin compression (25%) and share dilution shrink makes this a value trap rather than a turnaround.
Generated by an AI model from the day's news — an opinion for context only. Not financial advice, not a recommendation, and not a price target.
Similar AgriTech names
← All AgriTech names · Open AGCO in the interactive screener →
Data as of 2026-10-05 08:19 (end-of-day). How grades are computed →